Friday, June 15, 2012

Mali and the Return of Mohammed

By Steve Bolton

                Osama Bin Laden might be dead and gone, but his spirit now possesses northern Mali, which has suddenly become yet another safe haven for groups sympathetic to his goal of global genocide.
                As I wrote last summer in Blood in the Water: America Wins Another Battle While Bin Laden Wins the War, Al-Qaeda was never as formidable a threat as it was made out to be. On Monday America put another nail in its coffin by killing its new second-in-command, Abu Yahya al-Libi. It is only a matter of time before Bin Laden’s right-hand man, Ayman al-Zawahiri, meets a similar fate, but the end of Al-Qaeda will not mean the end of the war, by a longshot. Our politicians, media pundits and military strategists aren’t paying attention to the real war, which is a religious struggle between two radically different visions of the global order; in fact, they have forbidden us to even discuss it, which only guarantees that we will slowly lose that struggle over the next few generations.
                On paper, it seems that we have won, because Al-Qaeda is clearly on its way to extinction. The goals that it fought for, however, remain wildly popular in the Middle East, which is why Osama is now the second most popular name for newborn males in the region behind Mohammed. This is merely one vivid symptom of a dramatic political trend in the region, one that is only visible when looking back over the course of decades or centuries, not months or years as our myopic leaders are accustomed to thinking in terms of. We have dismantled Al-Qaeda in the last ten years, sometimes thanks to the heroics of our men in uniform. Yet in that same time frame, groups sympathetic to that organization have gained far more ground than they have lost. At the time of 9/11, there were only a couple of bastions of Muslim fundamentalism in the Middle East, most notably Iran, Sudan, southern Lebanon and parts of Israel’s Occupied Territories, as well as some unrest lingering in Algeria from its civil war in the 1990s. Saudi Arabia might also be included in this group, since sharia is the law of the land there, although it is technically a fickle ally of the U.S. The fact that fundamentalist movements of various stripes gained this much power completely confounded the predictions of all the experts, who said in the early 1980s that it would be confined merely to Iran and Afghanistan, where the first potent Islamic movements were established in the mid-‘70s. Since 9/11, the experts have been confounded yet again, because radical Islam has continued to spread throughout the region. A mildly fundamentalist party took power in Turkey in 2002 through peaceful elections; the Arab Spring has brought similar groups to power in Tunisia, Libya and Egypt practically overnight, within just the last year; Yemen descended into civil unrest and chaos, allowing Al-Qaeda affiliates to establish bases there; the Somali civil war raging for the last two decades abruptly changed from a tribal squabble to a religious war; Hamas also won free elections in the Occupied Territories and seized power in the Gaza Strip. Even more ominously, our duplicitous allies in Pakistan’s intelligence services, the ISI, were for all intents and purposes revealed to be harboring Bin Laden – but instead of apologizing profusely for this act of war, Pakistan has blockaded our supply routes into Afghanistan. Worse still, the West has been proven helpless to stop Iran’s gradual march towards acquisition of nuclear weapons. All of these portentous developments are much more threatening to the regional balance of power, but what occurred in the poor Saharan backwater of Mali last month is an omen of just how quickly the tide is turning against America and the rest of the West in their battle against Islamic fundamentalism.

Mali, Militancy and Mohammed

                Alarm bells might not be going off loudly in Western capitals over the loss of northern Mali, but it still serves as a bellwether of where the entire region has been inexorably heading for the past three and a half decades. Just a year ago, there seemed little chance that Islamic fundamentalists could take power in Mali, a landlocked nation of 14 million people spread out over 770,620 square miles of territory. That is roughly the same size as California, Oregon, Washington, Wyoming, Idaho, Arizona and Nevada combined. Only 3.77 percent of that land is arable, which is why Mauritania has a low population and a low annual per capita income of just $1,300.[1] For that reason, it is never going to be a big geopolitical prize in its own right, but its sheer size has already been in a major factor in the current crisis. Policing the porous borders of this lightly populated, sprawling territory would be a Herculean task for any Third World government, which is precisely why the remnants of Muslim fundamentalists groups that fought in Algeria’s civil war have been able to use its northern deserts for transit since the 1990s. Furthermore, Mali’s sheer size has always made it difficult for the black majority living in the south of the country to assert influence over the northern half, where Tuareg tribes more culturally related to the Arabs and Berbers of North Africa predominate. The Tuaregs have long sought autonomy from the central government in distant Bamako; although they are geographically concentrated in the north, they make up just 10 percent of Mali’s total population. This is the kind of typical sloppy shotgun marriage that Western nations like Britain and France forced upon all of the peoples of Africa when they grudgingly granted their colonies independence in the middle of the last century; they gave no thought at all to drawing sensible borders corresponding to the geographic distribution of Africa’s many distinct ethnic groups. Many of the wars that have plagued Africa since independence have been the direct result of this high-handed drawing of arbitrary borders by Western powers a couple of generations ago.
This spring, the Tuaregs teamed up with Islamic fundamentalist groups like Ansar Dine, a close ally of the regional terrorist group known as Al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), to forcibly withdraw those borders. This was a direct result of the so-called Arab Spring. Shortly before his well-deserved death, Bin Laden worried that this sudden upheaval in North Africa would undermine Al-Qaeda’s influence, but he didn’t live long enough to see the uprising in Libya succeed with the support of Islamists only slightly less radical than himself. As a result, Ansar Dine and similar groups were instantly able to get their hands on weapons, supplies and bases that they previously never had; the success of the Islamist revolutions in Tunisia, Libya and Egypt also established fundamentalists in power throughout North Africa, albeit of a less virulent bent. Furthermore, after Muammar Khadafy’s regime fell last year, Tuareg leader Col. Mohammed ag Najim returned to Mali after serving in a special regiment of the Libyan army designated for his ethnic kin.[2] The big break for both factions came in March when officers of Mali’s military overreacted to the increased challenge. Instead of fighting the rebels in a more intelligent way, they took out their frustrations on the democratically elected government in Bamako by overthrowing President Amadou Toumani TourĂ©. The more populous, black African section in southern Mali was once conspicuous as an oasis of peace, ethnic tolerance and democracy in a troubled continent, but it has now been thrown into chaos as well, to the point that in late May, a mob of coup supporters beat up Dioncounda Traore, the interim president the coup plotters had themselves installed in power. In the midst of this chaos, the armed forces disintegrated, allowing the separatist Tuareg rebels and Ansar Dine to sweep across northern Mali and take over Timbuktu and other key towns like Gao. On May 26, the two factions proclaimed the independence of Azawad, their term for the vast region under their control.
As I have touched on briefly elsewhere, mankind’s advances in communication, transportation, organization and the like have made possible a gradual acceleration in the rate at which change takes place in international politics. One important sign of this was the unprecedented speed of the collapse of the Soviet bloc at the end of the Cold War, which had seemed completely secure just a decade before; a more recent manifestation was the Arab Spring itself, which changed the whole political landscape of North Africa in the twinkling of an eye. This spring’s upheaval in Mali is yet another reminder of how fast geopolitics now moves, because a few months ago, there seemed little chance that a new nation state would ever gain independence in what is now called Azawad. Almost overnight, Al-Qaeda sympathizers have gained control of a region the size of France.
In the long run, the same acceleration may come back to bite the Islamists and the Tuareg separatists though, because their precarious new state could fall just as quickly. First, the Arab Spring disrupted the efforts of North Africa governments to control the breeding grounds of locusts, which are expected to swarm over Mali later this year as a result, thereby potentially wrecking Azawad’s economy. The possibility of a regional famine also looms. Second, Najim and Ansar Dine leader Iyad ag Ghali don’t get along. Their goals are compatible, in the sense that independence for the region can be reconciled with Islamic law, but don’t overlap at all, which is precisely why they have failed to agree on a unified structure of government despite several proclamations to the contrary over the last few weeks. Furthermore, Ansar Dine’s brand of sharia has already proven unpopular due to its bans on music and soccer, a fault which also undermined popular support for Ansar’s allies in distant Somalia a few years ago. The only glue holding them together is the common threat of Mali’s armed forces, which has its work cut out for it if it wants to reconquer the vast amount of territory it has lost. Two years ago the tiny portion of the capital that Somalia’s Western-backed government controlled was nearly overrun by Islamic rebels, until Western governments and their allies apparently used disinformation tactics and spread around some cash to sow dissension among the rebels, who have now been expelled from the capital as a result. The same trick is likely to work in Mali.
If it doesn’t, you’re likely to see France become deeply involved in a counter-revolutionary program to oust the rebels, beginning with substantial military aid to Mali’s armed forces and ending perhaps with direct French intervention on the ground and from the air, if all else fails. France has always considered this region to be its backyard and cannot afford to ignore the crisis, even in the midst of the European Union’s austerity catastrophe; if it doesn’t bankroll effective opposition to Ansar Dine and its allies, it is going to pay a terrible long-term cost in terms of its own security. Algeria, the most powerful of Mali’s neighbors, can also ill afford to ignore the situation, given that its own moderate Islamists were popular enough to win general elections in 1992; this was overturned by a military coup, sparking a civil war whose embers have still not gone out. Ansar Dine’s philosophy is unlikely to make as much headway in southern Mali or among the black African populations in neighboring Niger, Senegal, Guinea, Ivory Coast, Burkina Faso, due to significant cultural differences with the Arab, Berber and Tuareg peoples of North Africa. Yet it is noteworthy that politics in the once-peaceful Ivory Coast now revolves around a split between the Muslim and Christian populations, as it does in many other nations in the regions where the two religions previously coexisted peacefully, such as Nigeria. The presence of ethnic Tuareg minorities throughout central North Africa, the sheer size of Mali, the porous borders of the region and the sheer difficult of reconquering all of this territory mean that there is significant potential for Ansar Dine and AQIM to use Mali as a launching pad towards further subversion of the region. Their base is Mali isn’t likely to last, but the longer it does, the easier it will be for them to fan out across North Africa, spreading like an infection into other power vacuums in the region. It is difficult to say where they will strike next, since the porous borders of the region make it possible for them to cross vast distances unimpeded. This problem is illustrated best by the fact that the fall of northern Mali was made possible by the Arab Spring in Libya, which doesn’t even share a border with Mali. In essence, the fundamentalist revolution that Bin Laden hoped for acted like a wildfire skipping over a firebreak. Crises are popping up in seemingly random places across the Islamic world in much the same way that pustules will continue to spread across a human body if an underlying infection of the bloodstream is not cured. Victories like killing Bin Laden or covertly helping Somalia’s government push Islamic rebels out of Mogadishu two years ago are merely equivalent to popping the pustules, which are only going to multiply unless we identify the underlying disease.

The Meaning of Islam

                In the last decades since we began eradicating Al-Qaeda, we have actually lost ground against Islamic fundamentalism in general. In fact, the defining political trend of the last three and a half decades among the world’s 1 billion Muslims has been a steady, unabated march toward increasing militancy. The first signs of this trend appeared in the late 1970s, when rebels in Afghanistan began attacking the Soviet-backed government for attempting to forcibly “modernize” their society in ways that were incompatible with Islam. At about the same time, the popular movement to oust the shah of Iran began demonstrating in the name of Islam and their local hero, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini. No one actually believed that these movements could attain power; when that assumption was disproved, the so-called experts claimed that they were merely the results of local conditions and therefore could not spread throughout the region. When various flavors of Islamic fundamentalism began to spread to places like Sudan and Lebanon in the 1980s, they still downplayed the problem. The entire history of the Islamic world in this period can be summed up this way: in each nation where Muslims are a majority or a significant minority, the linchpin of politics has slowly changed from other issues like class or ethnic divisions to the role of religion. A few decades ago, Arab nationalism and the Cold War split between communism and capitalism were the major issues around which political disputes revolved, but now it is Islam, in almost every Muslim nation. This is true in the Ivory Coast; it is true in Turkey; it is true in Somalia, where the civil war was once about clan divisions, but now revolves around the battle between secularism and Islam. It is also true in Mali today, where ethnic divisions are giving way to the issue of religion before our very eyes. We can also safely state that secularists are swiftly retreating in disarray, in almost every case. In countries where Islamists have not taken power, they have at least become the leading opposition.
An even more disturbing trend that our political scientists and pundits refuse to admit is the development of an unspoken and quite dangerous rivalry between all of the various Islamist groups of the Umma, or community of Muslim believers, to prove that each is more Muslim than the other. On its face, this seems to be a good thing, because it means that certain fundamentalist groups are more tolerant and humane than others and entails that the militants will squabble among each other. There is a vast difference between the vision that Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has for his society and that of Somalia’s al-Shabaab movement or Mali’s Ansar Dine. There is less difference between the visions of Bin Laden and the mullahs of Iran, who differ more over who should lead the worldwide jihad they want to bring about than what it should entail. This rivalry might prevent a dangerous combination of forces against the West and the remaining secularists it supports within the Umma, but it has also established an unofficial contest between fundamentalists to prove their credentials through acts of even greater barbarity. As a result, the trend towards fundamentalism across the region has been accompanied by a similar trend towards even greater militancy among the fundamentalists themselves. That is why the relatively moderate brand of Islam espoused by the Afghans who fought against the Soviets was eclipsed by that of the Taliban; this is why Hassan al-Turabi, the ideologue behind Sudan’s relatively mild fundamentalism, has spent time in Sudanese prisons in recent years; it is why the Algerian fundamentalists who were cheated out of their 1992 election victory have since been eclipsed by rebel groups like the Armed Islamic Group (GIA), which is one of the most barbaric terrorist organizations on the planet. Somalia’s current president also espouses a brand of Islamic fundamentalism, but one that is simply not strict enough for Al-Shabaab. It is also why Bin Laden rose to prominence over other less militant leaders of the worldwide fundamentalist movement, like al-Turabi. If secularism continues to fade away throughout the Islamic world, politics in the region is likely to increasingly revolve around even more dangerous games of “Islamic leapfrog,” with each seeking to prove to the other that “I am more Muslim than you are.” What this will entail, in essence, is a reversion to the most barbaric commands contained in the Koran, many of which would shock ordinary Americans, if they ever bothered to actually read it.
Because the ruling classes of North America and Europe are so overly concerned with mistreatment of people who call themselves Muslim, they have essentially forbidden any public criticism of the philosophy of Islam or of the behavior of Mohammed. These issues are entirely different from the important goal of protecting the civil rights of Muslims against persecution by rednecks, but some of our leaders confuse them deliberately, in order to prevent legitimate criticism of the philosophy itself. The fact that they have done this in the name of free speech is ridiculously Orwellian, while the fact that they simultaneously allow every possible slander against Christianity - especially the most orthodox versions of it – is a sign of their real motivation. Whenever I bring up what the Koran actually says, one of the first reactions that critics resort to is to ask, “Well, what about the crimes of Christians, or the evil commandments of the Bible?” This is a clue to the bigotry that is their true underlying motivation, which is to use any possible stick to beat Christianity with, including Islam. It is true that people falsely calling themselves Christians have committed enormous crimes against humanity, but this has been true ever since Judas betrayed Christ himself. The widespread idea that Christianity was spread across the world by force is actually a bald-faced lie, however, one that can easily be verified as false. The Saxons were the only tribe in Europe converted by force, in retaliation for their continued attacks on their Christian neighbors; even this was at the insistence of Charlemagne, who was a secular king, not a religious authority. The conquistadores and their descendants did not use force to convert the indigenous peoples of Latin America, but instead used force to try to prevent their own priests, missionaries, nuns and other religious authorities from converting them, sometimes to the point of martyring them. In contrast, it is a historical fact that Islam was established throughout the Middle East, North Africa and Central Asia through force, beginning with Mohammed, who conquered the southern portion of the Arabian Peninsula by force between 622 and 632 A.D. The leaders of the feuding Persian and Byzantine Empires laughed when Mohammed wrote to them, demanding that they recognize his authority, but they weren’t laughing much longer. After his death, Mohammed’s armies swept across the region, conquering Egypt and Syria and detaching all of the Byzantine Empire’s up to the borders of modern-day Turkey; Persian Empire was conquered by 644 A.D. and its Zoroastrian religion was extinguished; They swept across Africa into what is now Morocco, then northward into Spain by 711 A.D., until Charles Martel stopped them inside the borders of modern France in 732 A.D. at the Battle of Tours. They spread eastward as well into India and Central Asia, until a Chinese army stopped them in 751 A.D. The caliphate established by Mohammed fragmented and was reestablished under various dynasties over succeeding centuries, in which Islam was spread by particularly bloody means in the conquests of what are now Afghanistan and Pakistan. At one time Afghanistan was part Christian and part Hindu, until conquerors simply came in and exterminated everyone who wouldn’t convert, such as Tamerlane and his famous mountain of skulls. It is impossible to argue with the clear historical record, which shows an unbroken sequence of battles initiated by Islamic potentates against non-Muslim neighbors in every direction of the compass over the course of many hundreds of years, without a single break in the hostilities. We know, on a town-by-town basis, exactly how this long war enfolded over many generations.
Regardless of whether or not these actions represented the true nature of Islam or not, they are historical facts that cannot be argued with. The question of what Islam actually is can only be settled by Mohammed, who is the sole authority capable of saying what the proper interpretation of it can be. It might also be possible to assume what his interpretations might have been from the conduct of the earliest generations of his followers. One of the worst symptoms of the breakdown of the modern mind is the widespread inability of anyone, from our Supreme Court justices to our Bible scholars and back again, to understand what the term “interpretation” means. All it entails is discerning the meaning assigned by whatever authority was competent to assign it, not adding your own, no matter how clever it may be. Interpretation is not a matter of creativity, but of discerning the historical fact that a meaning has been assigned by a competent authority in the past. For example, for 150 years the Supreme Court has routinely usurped authority to itself by ignoring the express intentions of the framers of the Constitution, by substituting their own judgments, citing the opinions of foreign courts, referring to current public opinion or engaging in a hundred other invalid lines of reasoning. Likewise, many North American and European clergy today lie about what Catholicism means, every time they substitute any other interpretation of it than that assigned by the only competent authorities, the popes and church councils. The same problem also affects Islam, for which Mohammed and his earliest followers are the only competent authorities; all of the modern mullahs and professors of religion combined can only recognize its essence truthfully and objectively, not change it subjectively at will. If a person calls themselves a Muslim, it means they accept what the Koran says; if not, then they have essentially established their own religion. The same holds true for all other religions, for you’re not actually a Methodist if you don’t believe in Methodism, or a Hindu if you don’t follow Hinduism, or a Buddhist if you don’t follow the Tripitaka. The religion a person holds has far less to do with ceremonies and cultural traditions and far more to do with belief that certain comprehensive philosophy is actually true, particularly when it comes to ethics, which determines how a person behaves on a practical level on a day to day basis. Most Westerners today believe in a purely ceremonial view of religion, precisely because the ethics of their real religion, money, demand that they ignore the truths that their faiths teach; what our commercial civilization and its Gospel of Greed teaches is that all religions are equally worthless in comparison to the Almighty Dollar. Almost every issue in Western politics, whether it is abortion, immigration, foreign affairs or anything in between, ultimately leads back to the root of evil, money. Almost everyone who lives in this commercial civilization has been converted to an unofficial religion that holds money as sacrosanct, including many millions of people who call themselves Catholics, Muslims, Hindus, evangelical Protestants, Mormons and others, but actually aren’t. The one type of enemy we are unprepared to face is one that can’t be bought off, as most of us have been; the one type of truth we are unprepared to face is the one that can’t be subjectively reinterpreted to suit our tastes, such as the true nature of authentic Islam. It has an external, objective reality that we cannot change, one that was assigned by Mohammed centuries ago. The best record we have of his interpretation of it is the Koran, together with the Hadiths, as well as the actions of his earliest followers, which are a matter of historical fact. Whenever radical Islamists try to discern what Mohammed wanted them to do, they consult those historical facts and writings and conclude that because the founders of their faith went on the warpath, they ought to do the same. Whenever Western teachers of religion try to explain what Islam is, they rarely bother to even read the Koran or the Hadiths, or talk about Mohammed’s actions, but substitute a lot of academic gobbledygook about how Islam arose from the socioeconomic conditions of medieval Arabia or some such nonsense. It is important to keep in mind that these people are being paid to say that and I am not being paid to say the opposite; these people know full well that they would lose their tenure and social status if they actually spoke honestly about the issue. In fact, their convoluted interpretation of Islam is designed to prevent Muslims from respecting their own religion, so that they can go on acting just as badly as ordinary Americans by actually following the Gospel of Greed; they are somewhat more insulting than my honest criticisms, because they imply that Islam is not only historically false but a worthless cultural relic. Meanwhile, on the other side of the globe, millions of people are beginning to act on what they believe to be Mohammed’s authentic commands, in the present. It behooves us to find out exactly what those commands are, if we want to deal with them effectively.
Perhaps they are wrong when they imitate Mohammed and the caliphs who succeed him by going on the warpath, but their interpretation is backed up by more than three dozen passages in the Koran which command Muslims to go to war for their faith. For example, in Repentance 9:1-5, he says that “When the sacred months are over slay the idolaters wherever you find them. Arrest them, besiege them, and lie in ambush everywhere for them.” In the middle of Prohibition 66:7-9, a short chapter on a dispute between Mohammed and one of his wives, he suddenly blurts out, “Prophet, make war on the unbelievers and the hypocrites, and deal sternly with them. Hell shall be their home, evil is their fate.” Other examples include Repentance 9:121-123 and Repentance 9:73. Many of these passages lay down concrete rules for how to divide up war booty. This includes women, who may be raped if taken as captives in war. Passages like Women 4:24 and Light 24:33-34 state that men can even marry women who are currently married, as long as they are slaves, and may sell slave girls into prostitution. These are just a few of a long string of passages that denigrate the fairer sex, including Women 4:34, in which Mohammed orders men to beat their wives if they won’t shut up: “Men have authority over women because God has made the one superior to the other, and because they spend their wealth to maintain them. Good women are obedient. They guard their unseen parts because God has guarded them. As for those for whom you fear disobedience, admonish them and send them to beds apart and beat them. Then if they obey you, take no further action against them. God is high, supreme.” It is well known that Mohammed allowed men to take four wives, which is hardly fair to women, but not well known that he also allowed them to take an unlimited number of slaves as concubines, i.e. sex slaves. He himself was allowed to have up to nine, and that he used the God-given privilege to take his nine-year-old niece as one of his brides. Likewise, many passages in the Koran revolve around the angel Gabriel telling Mohammed’s wives and his harem to stop gossiping or talking back to him. Likewise, there is stark contrast between certain passages towards the beginning of the Koran in which Mohammed speaks positively of the “People of the Book,” i.e. the Jews and Christians, albeit while still maintaining that idolaters and pagan religions like Zoroastrians be converted by force. Towards the end, he begins to rant in passages like The Proof  98:1-7 that “The unbelievers among the People of the Book and the pagans shall burn for ever in the fire of Hell. They are the vilest of all creatures.” Another example is Women 4:46-4:56, in which Mohammed demands that the Jews and Christians accept his new holy book “confirming your own scriptures, before We obliterate your faces and turn them backward, or lay Our curse on you as We laid it on the Sabbath-breakers…“Those that deny Our revelations We will burn in fire. No sooner will their skins be consumed than We shall give them other skins, so that they may truly taste the scourge. God is mighty and wise.” In Table 5:51 he forbids Muslims to befriend Christians and Jews and in The Table 5:31-5:34 he recommends a harsh punishment that no Christian would ever dare to propose, for “Those that make war against God and His apostle and spread disorder in the land shall be put to death or crucified or have their hands and feet cut off on alternate sides, or be banished from the country.” The Koran openly admits that Mohammed openly participated in a massacre of Jews, which doesn’t do much for his credentials as a far as religious tolerance goes. In many places throughout the book, he flatly states that people can be converted by force, or through economic pressure such as placing extra taxes on Christians and Jews. This is precisely what his followers did for many centuries.
Perhaps these passages should not be interpreted in this way, but if so, it is strange that every other page of the Koran is full of such shocking statements, which on face value seem to confirm that Mohammed was simply a violent lunatic and a pervert to boot. I encourage everyone to read the book for themselves, because every other page contains some startling example of a passage that could be construed to condone brutality. Regardless of whether it is correct, this is the interpretation that many millions of fundamentalists on the other side of the planet accept more wholeheartedly with each passing decade. My interpretation of the plain meaning, in light of the historical record of Mohammed’s actions, is almost identical to theirs, with the important exception that we come to completely different conclusions about which angel helped Mohammed author it. So-called scholars of Islam in the West, as well as Westerners who purport to be Muslim, have every right to defend it if they choose, but typically resort to trying to silence critics or by appealing to their status as scholars, rather than trying to openly meet us in debate. Whether you’re a Muslim or not, no one has no right to speak on the matter if they’re not going to actually read the book, nor do you have any right to invent your own interpretation of it, for the only competent authority to decide what it actually means is Mohammed, and the only guide we have to his interpretations are his actions. The situation we find ourselves in today is remarkably similar to the attitude common among European leaders before World War II, when Hitler was regarded as a chap who wasn’t so bad after all. He even made the trains in Germany run on time. Meanwhile, no one bothered to read Mein Kampf to see what his philosophy actually signified. There were few exceptions, mainly the British journalist G.K. Chesterton, who is now recognized as the leading literary defender of Catholicism in the 20th Century, and popes like Pius XI and XII, who issued warnings about Nazism that were never heeded. I may be accused of issuing a biased, false interpretation of the Koran, but when I actually sat down to read it for the first time, I did so with an open mind, at a time when I knew nothing about Catholicism and far too much about atheism, which I was eager to get away from. I gave it a fair shot, and it scared me much more than Mein Kampf.

The Clash of Civilizations and the Retreat of the West

Perhaps my interpretation of it was wrong, but if so, the frightening thing is that my misinterpretation is now quite popular throughout the 1 billion people that make up the Umma. Every political trend within for the last several decades has gone in one direction: against secularism. This is not really surprising, because much of the Koran is devoted to mandating specific laws and regulations that governments must impose, unlike other holy books like the Bible and Upanishads which do the same to a far lesser degree.  Secularism is an alien idea that was implanted by Western colonialists over the course of a few centuries in which Europe and the areas it settled happened to wield far more military, economic and other power than they do now. As I detail in The Retreat of the West, a massive tome that I once intended to be my dissertation, the power wielded by that group of nations peaked about a century ago and has been in decline ever since, thanks to numerous interconnected trends. This long-term change in the global balance of power between civilizations is often missed because it is the kind of thing that takes centuries, even millennia, whereas our current leaders can’t even think a few years back. It is overlooked, but has been directly responsible for many of the key geopolitical events of the last century, from the Vietnam War to the Arab Spring and back again. North America and Europe, i.e. the West, is simply losing its grip on the rest of the world, which is reverting back to a geopolitical balance of power similar to that which prevailed more than five hundred years ago, when China was the world’s leading power and Islam had the upper hand over its Christian rivals in Europe. It now takes more arms and more money to keep the rest of the planet in check than it once did, and it will cost even more in the future, as advances in technology, communication and transportation speed the flow of ideas even faster around the planet. The Pentagon has staked its entire strategy on expensive technology like Predator drones which have their benefits, but which are doomed to fail in the long run, because the gap between the West’s technology and that of the Third World has been shrinking for at least a century and is only going to dissipate faster in the future. Our commercial civilization has grown too accustomed to simply throwing more money at problems to make them go away, which has fueled our excessive reliance on mere technology to ensure our security. What happens, however, when our opponents get their hands on comparable weapons, or our money runs out? Both problems are evident today in Afghanistan, which we are ultimately going to abandon to the Taliban because we have run out of money to fight them, in part because Corporate America has simply looted the war effort, by drastically overcharging taxpayers for it. The Taliban hasn’t changed at all; they’re still bent on global genocide and will only be emboldened when we leave. It is not as if we are fighting a somewhat honorable enemy with limited aims, like the Vietcong; when we abandoned Saigon, America knew it wouldn’t actually threaten our physical and economic security. The same is not true of the Taliban, or the rebels of Mali, or of Somalia, all of whom have a common mindset, of a kind that can’t be compromised with and simply cannot be stopped without great self-sacrifice. Perhaps that mindset is an incorrect interpretation of what Mohammed intended, but there can be no doubt that these groups share roughly the same idea, which is to convert us by the sword. This is only the beginning. If the trend towards playing “Islamic leapfrog” continues, we can expect to see such groups resort to even more barbaric commandments that the Koran at least appears to legitimize, such as slavery, rape, forcible conversions and the like. Again, if you don’t think that’s the correct interpretation, you are entitled to your opinion, as long as you’ve actually read the Koran and have strong arguments that Mohammed himself would have interpreted it your way. Whether they are wrong or right, the problem is that a growing proportion of the world’s Muslims are beginning to act on a consistent and entirely opposite interpretation.
Unfortunately, the one thing that our commercial civilization nullifies is the idea of self-sacrifice. Any society that makes material consumption its primary goal and bases social status upon it is doomed to failure, because heroism is what keeps societies alive in the long run. Renunciation of wealth and status for a greater cause are precisely what defines a person as a hero. Right now, we’re up against an enemy that believes in renunciation of both in favor of a thoroughly evil cause, which is entirely alien to our materialistic mindset. It is like a game of rock, paper, scissors; no matter how rich our commercial civilization is, we’re doomed to lose in the long run because this type of enemy is precisely the kind we’re not equipped to face. We can’t buy off the militants who think like Ansar Dine, because they view money merely as a means to further conquest; we can’t placate them, because they are obeying an expansionist imperative; we can’t threaten them, because they want to die and go to their materialistic version of Heaven; we can only pretend that they don’t exist, or that they’re a much less serious problem that they really are. The latter solution is typical of the mindset of our leaders, who believe, as most salesmen do, that putting a happy face on a debacle can make it more palatable.
Regardless of whether we choose to believe it, we are now in the midst of the Clash of Civilizations, a term invented by Samuel P. Huntington two decades ago to describe where he believed, the post-Cold War world was heading. He didn’t take into account two other important long-terms trends of the past couple of millennia, such as the Retreat of the West and the Falling Away of much of the West from orthodox Christianity over the last five centuries, as part of our slow conversion to the religion of money. As a result, the actual list of competitors in this clash comes down to just a handful of remaining forces active on the world stage today. One is the rise of China, which accounts for more than a sixth of the world’s population and is now resuming its ancient position as the preeminent power in the world. Another is Islam, which accounts for another sixth of the world’s population. Both are opposed by the West’s “post-Christian” commercial civilization. Thanks to the apostasy of most of North America and Europe over the last few centuries, Catholicism and the most traditional branches of Protestantism and Eastern Orthodoxy appear to be doomed, but as I discuss in The Falling Away, Catholicism is actually expanding at an unprecedented speed – which has only gone unrecognized because it is rapidly converting the invisible millions at the margins of the planet, like the poorest of the poor in Africa and Asia.  Hinduism and Buddhism are negligible players in this drama, since they have both been steadily marginalized for centuries. Evangelical Protestantism, particularly its Pentecostal movements, also accounts for a billion people, but they overlap the commercial civilization of the West, which they support with their doctrines. It is also important to keep in mind that another billion people have been snuffed out in the womb by abortions in just the last four decades, a number equivalent to another sixth of the planet’s population.
Out of all these remaining players, the West and its commercial civilization currently seem to hold all the cards. As the Retreat of the West demonstrates, however, those cards are slowly being snatched away by our few remaining rivals. Furthermore, we’re guaranteed to lose the rest of them unless we rebuild our entire civilization on a different foundation, one that is currently alien to us. At present, the fundamentalists multiplying throughout the Umma in the Eastern Hemisphere really don’t represent a threat to the territorial security of Westerners, particularly those living it our Hemisphere; they’re just a handful of fanatics scurrying around the wastelands of the world. Yet we have no way to confront their interpretation of Mohammed on the battlefields that really determine where wars are won and lost, the human heart and mind. We have a vast lead in military technology and money, but this dynamic dictates that we will continue to lose the war even while winning all of the battles, as we have for the past three decades against Islamic fundamentalism. The Clash of Civilizations is only getting started and is bound to last many more decades; it may even determine the political crises that our grandchildren and great-grandchildren will have to react to generations from now. Unless we change course, at that point we may find ourselves incapable of preventing Bin Laden’s true dream, which was not merely to knock down a few buildings, but to put together a vast coalition capable of knocking them all down. Little by little, we are losing the ability to manipulate Third World politics in a way that would prevent such a nightmarish outcome, thanks to the dissipation of our military and economic power. Our power can go on evaporating in dribs and drabs for a long time to come before Bin Laden’s descendants can actually become a real military threat to Europe, but that is what they are aiming for; they consciously want to reestablish a single caliphate, to go out and convert the world through the same means that Mohammed did. At the time he lived, a decadent generation of Christians lived in the Byzantine Empire, which laughed off the threat he posed, until it was too late and they lost their riches and territory in one unexpected fell swoop. The rest of Europe was only saved by the emergence of Charles Martel, a man who was motivated by a Catholic ideology completely alien to our modern materialistic mind. The Crusades that began a few centuries hence were sometimes corrupted, but were originally initiated by the papacy to prevent a new Muslim threat from overrunning Europe and forcibly indoctrinating in our children in a religion their parents didn’t like. What most Westerners don’t understand is that this millennium-long war was largely a defensive one, against invaders who presumed the right to do things like snatch our children, convert them and make them serve as shock troops, as the Ottoman Turks did with their feared Janissary forces. The Ottoman Turks remained an omnipresent threat to the inferior military forces of Europe until the Battle of Lepanto in 1571, which marked the beginning of their decline. As late as 1683, the Polish leader John Sobieski had to rescue all of Europe by stopping the Turkish forces that were then at the gates of Vienna. He was one of the great unsung heroes of European history and a devout Catholic, like Martel, the Crusaders and the men who fought and died at Lepanto. They died so that you could have freedom of religion. These heroes are not esteemed today, nor is the religion they belonged to. Judging from our abject failure to stop the fundamentalists like Ansar Dine from multiplying across North Africa, the Middle East and Central Asia, our descendants may one day need a John Sobieski, as well as the faith he wholeheartedly believed in.

The writer is a former journalist with a Bachelor’s in journalism and a Master’s in history from the State University of New York at Brockport, with a focus on American foreign policy and specializations in U.S.-Latin American relations and counterinsurgency history. He has worked as a paid foreign policy columnist for several newspapers and has credit towards a doctorate in Latin America history. He is a convert to Catholicism from atheism and has been an avid reader of textbooks on topics ranging from particle physics to psychology to economics since age 9.


[1] These current figures were taken from the CIA Factbook webpage on Mali, which is available at https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/ml.html .

[2] Cody, Edward, 2012, “In Mali, an Islamic Extremist Haven Takes Shape,” in the June 7, 2012 online edition of The Washington Post. Available at http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/africa/in-mali-an-islamic-extremist-haven-takes-shape/2012/06/06/gJQAIKNlKV_story.html .